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UH OH its that time of year again! what games will win and which new game will fail!
sctt888
Member Posts: 128
Last year i successfully predicted the fall of vanguard, every one was like GTFO and STFU and they told me i was wrong and how much of a god game VG would be. Welp looks like i was right, another thing i successfully predicted was that LOTRO would be one of the best mmos released after WoW, while not killing or taking WoWs highseat it would be a GOOD mmorpg.
so far i was 2-0
This year i have more predictions for our new games comming out! POTBS will be a good game for the most part, while not having the high pop of LOTRO and no where near as WoWs it will be a very nice sandbox mmo that will make some old school SWGers pretty content. AoC will be the biggest shocker as it will fail, not fail as much as vanguard but the reason AoC will fail is because of bugs and it will be very computer intensive, you will definatly need a next gen to play this game. The bugs will be fixed, people will play AoC there will be huge debates on how much AoC rocks and how much it sucks on this forum.
Blizzard will announce its new xpac for WoW, this time bringing some nice features, housing, three new classes, DPS,Healer,Tank, no new races, this mmo will be centered upon the emerald dream. It will be a better xpac then the burning crusade but for the most part it will still feel like the same ol WoW which will get tedious after a while.
Warhammer will be the game that will knock WoW off its highseat, while not killing WoW it will hurt it badly, warhammer will do to WoW what WoW did to EQ2.The game will be immensely fun, a true PVPers game, though eventually WAR will become tedious eventually.
Vanguard will make a second comming, it will do what EQ2 did, it will finnally be playable, added content, so much to do and things to see. Sadly the preformance wont change much, no one cares about VG any more, while gaining a boost in subs it will still feel vastly empty.
A classic mmorpg will get a server were players can go back to their favorite time period of the game and many mmoers will rejoice and give it a nice pop boost again but nothing jurrasic.
So there ya go, my predictions for 07-08
Comments
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"Anyone posting on this forum is not an average user, and there for any opinions about the game are going to be overly critical compared to an average users opinions." - Me
"No, your wrong.." - Random user #123
"Hello person posting on a site specifically for MMO's in a thread on a sub forum specifically for a particular game talking about meta features and making comparisons to other titles in the genre, and their meta features.
How are you?" -Me
I wouldn't say you were correct with LOTR. Lots of people find it too simplistic. It has maybe 200,000 subscribers. I wouldn't call it a great success. And from What I hear, there is no endgame. So subs may drop a lot lower in the future.
AOC and WAR certainly seems to be next big hits.
I think you may be right about WoW although I think it's more likely to include siege weapons than houses.
LotrO is not a sandbox game...that kinda annoyed me when you said that, cause it's not, it's simple as someone else said, simple but good.
And i don't think AoC will fail, infact I think it will be the next big hit and WAR will fail cause it's set in an enviroment too similiar to WoW.
/Whesky
SWG, Eve, Planetside 2, EQN, Star Citizen
I find it amazing that by 2020 first world countries will be competing to get immigrants.
anyway, nothing i saw in the op seemed too far off of being possible.
____________________________
TheCore
Im thinking PotBS will be alright. Im expecting a polished version of the asian cashshop Voyage Century.
WoW will remain on its pedestal until an intelligent marketing team succeeds in Asia and Europe as Blizz did with WoW.
WAR will please WoW fans but end up with people getting tierd after a few monthes due to WoW aftertaste.
AoC will be a very fun, sadly shallow MMO, and succeed in providing fun gameplay thats not as run of the mill as other MMOs.
Im not too exited about any of these, personaly. Im still waiting for a MMO that uses the Pre-NGE SWG style skill system and provides immence freedom. I can only pray for a SWG2 in my lifetime returning to the old skill system, but im not gonna sit around and cry over NGE.
Thats my guess at 07. Lets hope 2008 is brigther!
Playing: EVE, WAR, Cybernations lol
That said a successful mmo is probably 250K subscribers by most standards. 500k would be really good. WoW is in its own market and own world.
As to the future:
SOE wouldn't buy Sigil/VG if they didn't think there was money to be made in it. So I would guess they will fix the game up as best they can and then start it on the path toward adventure packs and other stupid micro transactions like EQ2. They said in the release they are going to have a 50 person team working on it. So I would expect expansions and everything else but only after the huge bugs in the game are fixed. I think the player base is not going to ever climb from where it's at. People on the all access plan for SOE might try it but it's never going to be a big player in the market.
LOTRO is a success in my opinion but it's not a great game; it's a good game that serves mainly as a hold over until WAR and AoC for a lot of people. People will ultimately get bored and wander off; I would say the pop will problem shrink and grow based on content releases until they establish some kind of real end game. The game certainly hasn't upset WoW with millions of subscribers that some people were screaming.
AoC looks really good and really different. It is being hyped to hell and back which means that it will not live up to the expectations.
I think it will ultimately be a success, compared to normal MMOs (not WoW). However with any mmo that breaks a lot of the tried and true mmo trends it will probably be a buggy and slow process. FunCom isn't some dumb company though, they at least have AO under their belts, I don't think they will be in as much of a mess as Sigil.
WAR is in the same position as AoC, lots of people are waiting for it and it has some new and different ideas for pvp. DaOC was a good game and Mythic learned a ton about what they should and should try to force on a pvp oriented player base. I'm guessing they won't screw that up again. I think WAR will do really well at first, probably with a large surge or players. Many WoW pvpers will leave for WAR. I think WAR has the ability to be the most successful pvp focused MMO and it probably will.
I predict EVE will still stuck and there will be more dev drama because they appear to be largely unethical and unprofessional in how they run their game.
This post is 95% BS.
where do i find the information about the next expansion for WoW im a big fan and never heard of this information being released so please where did you hear it.
I don't agree with either of you. While I agree that the majority of WoW players don't fit in the MMORPG pool of players, I don't think they are Blizzard fans (since most Blizzard fans are players themselves) as much as they are bandwagon fans. I think alot of them will come looking for a new game after WoW, but most will probably never be heard from again.
I think a game can match the success of WoW and it doesn't have to be revolutionary or that good. Everything needs to work out just right.
SWG players are not going to flock to PoTBS. A sandbox is a sandbox, but a sci-fi sandbox is another issue. If we were going to flock to anything it would have been EvE, Ryzom, or SL. POTBS doesn't hold much that would attract my former guildies.
WoW will likely remain WoW regardless of what comes out in the next year. WoW appeals to all sorts of gamers, not limited to only those who are into MMORPGs. WoW has raids, capture the flag, team deathmatch, and many other minigame features that simply cannot be found in other mmo games. I am not boasting wow here. I only played it for a month and just couldn't wrap my funny bone around it, but the game does have a great deal to offer all sorts of gamers that won't be found in 99% of the games out there.
EQ 2 will continue to be a success amongst the mmo crowd, while largely ignored by everything else. SOE has made a well polished and playable game, they just failed to appeal to an unknown and untapped mass.
LOTR will do well. They will release more content this Summer on a platform that is already quite polished and stable. I wish them luck
Vanguard? This game got far more hype than DnL but seems to have failed to deliver much more. SOE taking over the game was a mercy killing. We'll see if they can bother to make it much more than MxO is today (not slamming mxo, it is just mostly in a state of ignore). I still can't wrap my funny bone around why they paid the piper to buy it.
AoC. We'll see. I hope it isn't a bad game, but I wish the same for Gods, both look great, but the jury is out.
WAR. I can't be really excited about this one. Hey mom, look! An IP!!!? Sorry, I know a number of fans out there are hoping this is te second coming of azeroth with sprinkles, it just hasn't impressed me thus far, and the hype is out of control.
TR. I hope for the best, but the things they dropped from the development plan make it look like iittle more than a FPS without the guts and glory of PS and WWII online. I want a playable Scifi game as much as anyone out there, but I am looking at this as a 3rd month purchase.
In a perfect world my SWG guild would pack up and move to Ryzom. My prediction? Utter Chaos
Played (more than a month): SWG, Second Life, Tabula Rasa, Lineage 2, Everquest 2, EvE, MxO, Ryzom.
Tried: WoW, Shadowbane, Anarchy Online, Everquest, WWII Online, Planetside
Beta: Lotro, Tabula Rasa, WAR.