Your Prediction Logic Game: AION

GrandoReaper

Welcome to

Your Prediction Logic Game

AION

~!~!~!~!~ WARNING WARNING ~!~!~!~!~

In order for this game of logic to work you need to refrain from using the words/phrases "Bias" "Lineage 2 Clone" "Sandbox" "WoW Killer".  Also please refrain from giving any irrelivant information such as, "I alpha tested your mom on a private server in the 80's."  If you currently have an AION Signature or Avatar please do not change it within 5 months of the games initial release.

Thank you

This is a not a joke, this is a test to challenge the logic of others with constructive criticism.

~!~!~!~!~ END WARNING ~!~!~!~!~

Step 1.) Answer the poll

Step 2.) Remember the choice you made.

Step 3.) Post why you believe this prediction is accurate.

Step 4.) Challenge the guy's post above yours for prediction supriority.

BUT

Step 4.) If the guy above you makes a good point give kudo's by a post edit.

If you selected Bonus Choice - Insta Fail then explain in your post what game you believe is taking these subscriber numbers from US & EU.

If you selected Bonus Choice - Insta Win then you may explain in your post how utterly superior your AION Signature & Avatar is compared to anybody elses Signature and/or Avatar.

Whats my personal choice? I'd go with 500,000 in a best case scenario.  Kudo's to korean bot farmers for being so massive in size to make these numbers possible.

Syno23

In North America, Europe, and Oceania (Australia). Umm, around 300k subscribers. I'll be you a million dollars.

EDIT: I forgot to say why, the reason why I think Aion is only going to have 300,000 subscribers across the whole region is because Aion is has nothing new, it is mostly an eastern style game with eastern style graphics. I know worldwide Aion will definitely have at least 3 million, but for NA/EU/ and Australia, only 300k would be safe.

Az2002ro

Originally posted by Syno23


In North America, Europe, and Oceania (Australia). Umm, around 300k subscribers. I'll be you a million dollars.

 

Ive got to bet higher.  The one thing MANY of the recent MMOs have lacked  is polish.  People come, hoping for a game that allows them to enjoy their free time without constantly screaming at them that "I am not finished."   Aion has polish.  Some will not like it, but lack of polish wont be their reason.

So, with that said, I believe NA will have 300k-400k alone.  another 100k-200k for EU.  Total.... 400k-600k

blueelf

Guys!!! refrain from doing big posts! I can't read that much at time so early in morning in the usxD give us a few hours!!!

 

edit:plus I dont bet, its a bad habbit!

//\//\oo

I chose the first answer, because a nearly certain bet is best. Perhaps you should do a ~ 1000 instead of > 1000, since the probability of being > 1000 includes the events that are listed beneath it, so it is kind of a cheat.

 

drel

Only time will tell

baddums

Originally posted by //\//\oo


I chose the first answer, because a nearly certain bet is best. Perhaps you should do a ~ 1000 instead of > 1000, since the probability of being > 1000 includes the events that are listed beneath it, so it is kind of a cheat.
 

 

^^^ Win

drbaltazar

 mm i wrote 3 million ,for one reason 

the boss of arenanet will be in part responsible for the succes of aion

so i would bet he as a trump card not reveled yet 

i could be wrong but i believe this game will do good only when 

ex arenanet boss(now boss of ncwest/aion)makes his phone cal and get his trump card on the table 

before boss effect, ho i would say this game will reach around 900 000 player

FastTx

Originally posted by drbaltazar


 mm i wrote 3 million ,for one reason 
the boss of arenanet will be in part responsible for the succes of aion
so i would bet he as a trump card not reveled yet 
i could be wrong but i believe this game will do good only when 
ex arenanet boss(now boss of ncwest/aion)makes his phone cal and get his trump card on the table 
before boss effect, ho i would say this game will reach around 900 000 player

 

If there is a trump card there really is only three options.

1. New and improved payment plan.

2. Advertising Blitz for Holiday season.

3. New custom content / different server types

4. DDOS WoW servers :P

Czzarre

I believe ~1million is a good hit for Aion barring any dramatic opening month issues. Aion has a lot of aspects that appeals to MMO players these days....foremost solid PVE and PvP in a polished enviornment (Think of it as being in open beta for 8 months in Asia)

for that main reason and several others I mention in my Aion Review, I believe Aion will do well

Zakavar

I cant see it not being succesful.  I also dont rate 'success' against WoW subscriber numbers, I see success at 300k and I'd say it'll do much better than that.  I voted for 500k~

Vesavius

1,000,000 to 3,000,000 steady subs by the end of the year.

Once the sheeple effect kicks in this game will fly.

Pryetta

I believe Aion will have a great start but then a slow decline as people start to leave for various reasons and then have a steady subscription rate of probably 500k give or take.

Nanulak

The main reasons this game will be sucessful..

Polished

Ballanced PvP (alot better than most)

Combines alot of the best ideas from all of the major MMO's out there

Extremly intuitive and customizable interface

Awsome character customization, from street thug to beauty queen, we want to play real people not cartoons

Frostbite05

ill guess in the ballpark of 500k-1 mil but it'll get bigger.

Horusra

I think amount and size of content in the game at start and added in the next year will determine the subs.  If it is a quick race to the end and they just grinding the same stuff in a small area over and over the non dedicated masses will look for something new to beat.