2nd month 500k 3rd month 400k 4-6th months 175 - 300k 6-12 months drops a bit to 130-175k
I know conversed on mutli game guild forums where there are 200 ppl plus who are waiting on this and have never really played an mmorpg before. Large amount of ST fans out there who have previously played in recent times Starfleet Command 1 & 2, Armada 1 & 2, Bridge Commander, Elite Force, Legacy etc who are just waiting for the mmo part to be done right.
The drop off will be alot faster then that. By the third week a good portion of the player base will be close to the level cap. Almost all hardcore players will be at level cap by the end of the first week. Once they realize all there is to do for endgame is instance pvp people will start leaving like crazy. STO is going to follow along the same path as CO did if not even faster once the StarTrek fans see that the core game is nothing like Star Trek.
I'll even go as far to say that there will be less then 70k people playing by the 6 month mark. That is unless Cryptic comes out with some multi game plan that includes CO and STO for a much reduced price. If that happens then I could see both games holding 100-150k people. CO is already all but a ghost town and its not even been half a year. Less then 100k subscriptions and even less then 20% of that is actively playing the game.
Replies in the same color as the highlights:
Do you have proof of this? Because, I totally disagree with your guess.
How's that fancy crystal ball working for you?
*cough* Sounds like you want something for nothing there.
2nd month 500k 3rd month 400k 4-6th months 175 - 300k 6-12 months drops a bit to 130-175k
I know conversed on mutli game guild forums where there are 200 ppl plus who are waiting on this and have never really played an mmorpg before. Large amount of ST fans out there who have previously played in recent times Starfleet Command 1 & 2, Armada 1 & 2, Bridge Commander, Elite Force, Legacy etc who are just waiting for the mmo part to be done right.
The drop off will be alot faster then that. By the third week a good portion of the player base will be close to the level cap. Almost all hardcore players will be at level cap by the end of the first week. Once they realize all there is to do for endgame is instance pvp people will start leaving like crazy. STO is going to follow along the same path as CO did if not even faster once the StarTrek fans see that the core game is nothing like Star Trek.
I'll even go as far to say that there will be less then 70k people playing by the 6 month mark. That is unless Cryptic comes out with some multi game plan that includes CO and STO for a much reduced price. If that happens then I could see both games holding 100-150k people. CO is already all but a ghost town and its not even been half a year. Less then 100k subscriptions and even less then 20% of that is actively playing the game.
A lot of guessing going on! To tell you the truth all the people that I played SWG have been playing WoW and we are all sick of Fantasy magic games the market is saturated. Now a sci fi game that is better than tabala rasa is coming out and along with millions of Star Trek fans you can guess and wager all you want but the fact that there is a real sci fi game coming out all your guessing will not be accurate to a reliable degree. You base your facts on the current gaming community and not the scifi gaming community, perhaps things are not as you believe, you could be right but most of the time people are wrong when it comes to the future.
Has any one talking in here actually played the game ?
I think Star Trek Online will be a "niche" game for the fans. And I predict the numbers will be about the same Star Wars ToR will get. Around 200k each long term.
Star Trek will maintain the IP fans who are into space battles and Star Wars will retain the IP fans and the roleplayers/pve'rs.
None of this games will have a big impact on the market in my opinion. And this has nothing to do with quality. Star Wars for example will be probably the best RPG available on the market since it's coming from Bioware, and I mean a true RPG in the real sense of the genre, for roleplayers. But this kind of games are made for a specific audience, not for huge masses of millions.
Comments
The drop off will be alot faster then that. By the third week a good portion of the player base will be close to the level cap. Almost all hardcore players will be at level cap by the end of the first week. Once they realize all there is to do for endgame is instance pvp people will start leaving like crazy. STO is going to follow along the same path as CO did if not even faster once the StarTrek fans see that the core game is nothing like Star Trek.
I'll even go as far to say that there will be less then 70k people playing by the 6 month mark. That is unless Cryptic comes out with some multi game plan that includes CO and STO for a much reduced price. If that happens then I could see both games holding 100-150k people. CO is already all but a ghost town and its not even been half a year. Less then 100k subscriptions and even less then 20% of that is actively playing the game.
Replies in the same color as the highlights:
Do you have proof of this? Because, I totally disagree with your guess.
How's that fancy crystal ball working for you?
*cough* Sounds like you want something for nothing there.
Again... where's your proof of this figure?
The drop off will be alot faster then that. By the third week a good portion of the player base will be close to the level cap. Almost all hardcore players will be at level cap by the end of the first week. Once they realize all there is to do for endgame is instance pvp people will start leaving like crazy. STO is going to follow along the same path as CO did if not even faster once the StarTrek fans see that the core game is nothing like Star Trek.
I'll even go as far to say that there will be less then 70k people playing by the 6 month mark. That is unless Cryptic comes out with some multi game plan that includes CO and STO for a much reduced price. If that happens then I could see both games holding 100-150k people. CO is already all but a ghost town and its not even been half a year. Less then 100k subscriptions and even less then 20% of that is actively playing the game.
A lot of guessing going on! To tell you the truth all the people that I played SWG have been playing WoW and we are all sick of Fantasy magic games the market is saturated. Now a sci fi game that is better than tabala rasa is coming out and along with millions of Star Trek fans you can guess and wager all you want but the fact that there is a real sci fi game coming out all your guessing will not be accurate to a reliable degree. You base your facts on the current gaming community and not the scifi gaming community, perhaps things are not as you believe, you could be right but most of the time people are wrong when it comes to the future.
Has any one talking in here actually played the game ?
I think Star Trek Online will be a "niche" game for the fans. And I predict the numbers will be about the same Star Wars ToR will get. Around 200k each long term.
Star Trek will maintain the IP fans who are into space battles and Star Wars will retain the IP fans and the roleplayers/pve'rs.
None of this games will have a big impact on the market in my opinion. And this has nothing to do with quality. Star Wars for example will be probably the best RPG available on the market since it's coming from Bioware, and I mean a true RPG in the real sense of the genre, for roleplayers. But this kind of games are made for a specific audience, not for huge masses of millions.
Yay lets pull numbers out of our ass depending on if we like the game or not!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!