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Forbes Predicting Biggest Disaster of 2014

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  • AmjocoAmjoco Member UncommonPosts: 4,860
    Originally posted by kitarad

    Isn't SWToR making money why would it be a failure ?

    Ya, I saw another post stating that it was a total failure, yet every time I get on to play there are many people online. I think the reason it is a "failure", is because it didn't live up to it's hype. Otherwise to me, anything that is making money and is fun is not to bad at all. 

    Death is nothing to us, since when we are, Death has not come, and when death has come, we are not.

  • kitaradkitarad Member LegendaryPosts: 8,178

    Did EA come out and say SWTOR is a failure ? You said game producers consider it a failure. Would you please link where EA has said that about SWTOR.

  • ArthasmArthasm Member UncommonPosts: 785
    Not only ESO, but Wildstar and any other MMO coming in 2014 will fail so badly, the disaster bigger than GW2.
  • NadiaNadia Member UncommonPosts: 11,798
    Originally posted by Muppetier

    This disclaimer posted with the article

    The author is a Forbes contributor. The opinions expressed are those of the writer.

    would seem to suggest OP is mistaken.

    the article is on Forbes site - not some random blog

    that's a strong enough association for me

     

    should we discount all of the writer articles as "not Forbes" articles?

    http://www.forbes.com/sites/insertcoin/

  • BetaguyBetaguy Member UncommonPosts: 2,629
    Originally posted by kitarad

    Did EA come out and say SWTOR is a failure ? You said game producers consider it a failure. Would you please link where EA has said that about SWTOR.

     Kit, I wouldn't dwell on it to much or spend too much time thinking about it.  It is not a failure by any means, it is not what most people wanted, however there is many who do enjoy it and it is a success by any definition regardless what the doom n gloomer's say here.

    "The King and the Pawn return to the same box at the end of the game"

  • Nemesis7884Nemesis7884 Member UncommonPosts: 1,023
    im really wondering how guild wars 2 can push up that many content updates...are they only making money from that cash shop now which hardly sells anyhthing? kinda crazy...
  • Pratt2112Pratt2112 Member UncommonPosts: 1,636
    Originally posted by TheHavok

    My favorite part:

    'And it’s important to state that our decision to go with subscriptions is not a referendum on online game revenue models. F2P, B2P, etc. are valid, proven business models – but subscription is the one that fits ESO the best, given our commitment to freedom of gameplay, quality and long-term content delivery. Plus, players will appreciate not having to worry about being “monetized” in the middle of playing the game, which is definitely a problem that is cropping up more and more in online gaming these days. The fact that the word “monetized” exists points to the heart of the issue for us: We don’t want the player to worry about which parts of the game to pay for – with our system, they get it all.”

    Yeah, if nothing else, the people at Bethesda/Zenimax understand one of the core issues with F2P/Cash Shop setups. The other part is that the entire game is designed and balanced around making Cash Shop items highly desirable, if not outright compulsory.

    Unfortunately, many people never bother to look past the word "Free!" and dive right in with wild abandon, never considering how their game experience is affected - even if they don't realize it. I'd assumed the MMO community at large would be able to see past the marketing, clever PR, the blatant "in-your-face" tactics employed in the game design, and the "coincidental" way the items being sold on the cash shop just happen to address limitations/restrictions/speed-bumps/obstacles deliberately designed into the game specifically to sell them.

    It's like a narrow residential street being laid down wit ha bunch of pot-holes deliberately left in, and then the city offers residents the option of having those in front of their house filled in.... for a fee. It's purely optional. You could certainly try to maneuver around them, or drive over them really slowly... and warn your kids to keep their eyes open when playing. But it would be so much nicer to just have them filled in... and it's only $2 per hole.... You could buy the stuff and do it yourself, but that would be costly and time-consuming. And besides, several of your neighbors are doing it. So, it can't be that bad of a deal. 

    The whole thing is a sham. It puts developers in the position of creating and adjusting demand, while also controlling the supply. 

    Yes, I find it a much better deal to spend a flat $15 a month - about 35 cents an hour with as much as I typically play each month (though it would be just as worthwhile to me at even $1 or $1.50 an hour) - and know that the game I'm playing is designed to keep me entertained and playing as long as I enjoy it, not paying as long as I can stand it. It's well worth the price of admission just for me to know I'm not dealing with a game design built around trying to get me to spend as much as possible, as often as possible.

    As for the article... For someone who, from what they say, hasn't experienced the game first-hand... they sure have a lot to say about it. For one, the cost of the game doesn't mean it will be good or bad. The design of it will. For another, there were many reasons TOR failed to do well and - especially having not played it themself (apparently) - it's absurd for them to assume TESO will suffer the same issues. In all, the whole article is wrapped in fallacy, conjecture and baseless arguments.

     

     

  • ZorgoZorgo Member UncommonPosts: 2,254
    Originally posted by Nadia
    Originally posted by Muppetier

    This disclaimer posted with the article

    The author is a Forbes contributor. The opinions expressed are those of the writer.

    would seem to suggest OP is mistaken.

    the article is on Forbes site - not some random blog

    that's a strong enough association for me

     

    should we discount all of the writer articles as "not Forbes" articles?

    http://www.forbes.com/sites/insertcoin/

    While, more legit than a random blog certainly;

    a contributing writer and a staff writer are two different things.

    With a staff writer I believe it would be accurate to say 'Forbes says X" - but with a contributing writer....I'm not sure I'd put it that way.

    This in no way should detract from the quality of the article. If it weren't quality - Forbes likely wouldn't post it.

  • NadiaNadia Member UncommonPosts: 11,798
    Originally posted by Zorgo

    a contributing writer and a staff writer are two different things.

    With a staff writer I believe it would be accurate to say 'Forbes says X" - but with a contributing writer....I'm not sure I'd put it that way.

    fair enough - i stand corrected

  • AmjocoAmjoco Member UncommonPosts: 4,860
    Originally posted by Nadia
    Originally posted by Toxia

    http://www.forbes.com/sites/insertcoin/2014/01/02/predicting-the-biggest-disaster-of-2014-the-elder-scrolls-online/

    Thoughts?

    i really dont get this...

     

    first massively has a voting category for mmo most likely to fail

    and now forbes is slinging mud ?

     

    wait for a game to launch... sheesh image

    Ya, it does seem to be an odd new category that sites have been promoting. I'm not sure what the gain is from determining this ahead of time, and/or what they will achieve from it. I can see Forbes possibly taking an interest in it, but Massively? It is like if Ford posted it's 2014 Focus will fail. Why would a game website want to predict a failure? It seems like the publicity would hurt the title and relations with the developer and the publisher.

    Death is nothing to us, since when we are, Death has not come, and when death has come, we are not.

  • kitaradkitarad Member LegendaryPosts: 8,178

    Restructuring is not an indication of failure. Blizzard North was shutdown by Blizzard Entertainment. I think no one in their right mind will call Diablo a failure.

    As for the 300 million was that a rumour or really true ?

  • BetaguyBetaguy Member UncommonPosts: 2,629
    Originally posted by kitarad

    Restructuring is not an indication of failure. Blizzard North was shutdown by Blizzard Entertainment. I think no one in their right mind will call Diablo a failure.

    As for the 300 million was that a rumour or really true ?

     Was more like 150 Million, TESO will be the most expensive production MMO to date when it releases.

    "The King and the Pawn return to the same box at the end of the game"

  • LyrianLyrian Member UncommonPosts: 412

    I love his point in the article. The Iron Gates of Subscription. The Gates of Subscription are great if you have a good product to back it up. Once you have a solid product, they become the Golden Gates of Subscription and you have a cash cow to milk dry and you keep out the undesirables.

    I haven't been wrong with any of my mmo predictions since I learned from Dark and Light. ESO will be the next good splash, we'll play it, we'll have fun, memories will be made. I'm planning on picking it up for a fun time. It's up to the Devs if they'll release content fast enough, and in a way to keep ourselves interested for long enough.

    If they are holding a sneaky trick under their hats, that Cyrodill has capturable keeps that we can design and assault on a weekly basis with massive PvP battles and sieges. That holding a keep will give huge resource based bonuses to the guild that controls it. That crafting yields the best or near best gear in the game (how about needing raid mats to craft best in slot stuff?) They can sit on their heels and release a major patch every 8-12 weeks to keep us happy.

    If it's a gear treadmill and they are expecting us to reroll alts and just randomly pvp in cyrodill. Well then, they are going to regretting their choices more than Anderson Silva regrets his ill fated kick the last match. If they go down that route, they need to be prepared to give us an expansion every 12 weeks because sure as **** I'm not rerolling alts. The community has shown with SWTOR that the majority of the population hates doing that.

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  • cnutempcnutemp Member UncommonPosts: 230
    Originally posted by Toxia

    http://www.forbes.com/sites/insertcoin/2014/01/02/predicting-the-biggest-disaster-of-2014-the-elder-scrolls-online/

     

    Thoughts?

    I think they may be right.   TESO brings nothing new to the table other than their IP.  Quest hub grinding to max level then 3 faction pvp?  Sounds like guild wars 2, and I already have that game.

  • kitaradkitarad Member LegendaryPosts: 8,178

    I am not trying to be a pain it is just a bit too much when you use absolute words like failure or success. A game can make money and still not be considered a success because it did not meet the goals but then it would not make it a failure either. SWTOR is doing okay I think and as long as it is not shutdown it will trundle along making money for EA.

    TESO is the most expensive ? My goodness that is going to be hard to make back the money.

  • BetaguyBetaguy Member UncommonPosts: 2,629
    Originally posted by kitarad

    I am not trying to be a pain it is just a bit too much when you use absolute words like failure or success. A game can make money and still not be considered a success because it did not meet the goals but then it would not make it a failure either. SWTOR is doing okay I think and as long as it is not shutdown it will trundle along making money for EA.

    TESO is the most expensive ? My goodness that is going to be hard to make back the money.

     Maybe their goals were unrealistic and set too high.  Maybe they reached those goals but took a bit longer?

    Hard to argue with reputable game sites vs. puny minority of disgruntled forum goer's. Bad press sells better that is all.

     Also negative responses are more memorable than positive.

     

    Reception
    Aggregate scores
    Aggregator Score
    GameRankings 83.87% (46 reviews) [72]
    Metacritic 85/100 (73 reviews) [77]
    Review scores
    Publication Score
    Eurogamer 8/10[68]
    G4 5/5[69]
    GamesRadar 8 out of 10[73]
    GameSpot 8.0/10[70]
    GameSpy 4/5 stars[71]
    GameTrailers 8.6/10[74]
    GameZone 8/10[75]
    IGN 9.0/10[76]
    PC Gamer 93/100[78]
    Awards
    Publication Award
    GameSpy Best MMO in 2011 Game of the Year Awards [79]
    MMO of the Year 2012 Best Pay-to-play Download MMO[80]
     
    "The King and the Pawn return to the same box at the end of the game"

  • DestaiDestai Member Posts: 574

    Time will tell, but I agree with Forbes on this one. Firor's defense of the model is perfectly - just not for his game and the history of the IP. Were this solely a PC game, the subscription would work. I just can't think of any instance where the subscription model has proven profitable on a console. Additionally, this is a game relating to a single player series, that's another group not accustomed to subscriptions. 

    Combine that with how close they're playing their cards to their chest, I really get the feeling we're gonna see a failure. I hope not (sort of), but there's been very little positive reception to this game. 

  • AmjocoAmjoco Member UncommonPosts: 4,860
    Originally posted by cnutemp
    Originally posted by Toxia

    http://www.forbes.com/sites/insertcoin/2014/01/02/predicting-the-biggest-disaster-of-2014-the-elder-scrolls-online/

     

    Thoughts?

    I think they may be right.   TESO brings nothing new to the table other than their IP.  Quest hub grinding to max level then 3 faction pvp?  Sounds like guild wars 2, and I already have that game.

    I will love this game, not because it offers new or extraordinary features, but because it will be surrounded by other TES fans. It will be a niche game, and probably thin out to just those who love the title after a few months. Well, this is my prediction! :)

    Death is nothing to us, since when we are, Death has not come, and when death has come, we are not.

  • FearumFearum Member UncommonPosts: 1,175
    Originally posted by cnutemp
    Originally posted by Toxia

    http://www.forbes.com/sites/insertcoin/2014/01/02/predicting-the-biggest-disaster-of-2014-the-elder-scrolls-online/

     

    Thoughts?

    I think they may be right.   TESO brings nothing new to the table other than their IP.  Quest hub grinding to max level then 3 faction pvp?  Sounds like guild wars 2, and I already have that game.

    If you really think GW2 is a good example of 3 faction PvP I feel sorry for you friend.

  • BetaguyBetaguy Member UncommonPosts: 2,629
    Originally posted by DMKano
    Originally posted by Betaguy
    Originally posted by kitarad

    Restructuring is not an indication of failure. Blizzard North was shutdown by Blizzard Entertainment. I think no one in their right mind will call Diablo a failure.

    As for the 300 million was that a rumour or really true ?

     Was more like 150 Million, TESO will be the most expensive production MMO to date when it releases.

    Nope it was over 300mil, EA is trying to downplay the true cost, but now that ex-bioware employees are not under EAs wings and those who have spoken to them candidly, it was well over 300mil.

     

     No one will ever know forsure... disgruntled ex-employees can up play just as easy as the suits down playing. Just saying.

    "The King and the Pawn return to the same box at the end of the game"

  • ArskaaaArskaaa Member RarePosts: 1,265

    Elder scroll fans buy game no matter how much it sucks.

    i will buy it becouse im fan. see when i play it, is it good or bad.

  • SawlstoneSawlstone Member Posts: 301
    Originally posted by Amjoco
    Originally posted by cnutemp
    Originally posted by Toxia

    http://www.forbes.com/sites/insertcoin/2014/01/02/predicting-the-biggest-disaster-of-2014-the-elder-scrolls-online/

     

    Thoughts?

    I think they may be right.   TESO brings nothing new to the table other than their IP.  Quest hub grinding to max level then 3 faction pvp?  Sounds like guild wars 2, and I already have that game.

    I will love this game, not because it offers new or extraordinary features, but because it will be surrounded by other TES fans. It will be a niche game, and probably thin out to just those who love the title after a few months. Well, this is my prediction! :)

    I'm with you on that! Just like the fans of FF have their game we can have ours!

  • ShadanwolfShadanwolf Member UncommonPosts: 2,392

    Let the game speak for itself.

    When we have open beta many will make a judgement....for better or worse

    till then...to much bloviating.

  • BetaguyBetaguy Member UncommonPosts: 2,629
    Originally posted by Arskaaa

    Elder scroll fans buy game no matter how much it sucks.

    i will buy it becouse im fan. see when i play it, is it good or bad.

     And that is the proper attitude for any individual as everyone has their own taste to satisfy. Every MMO I have bought since WoW has let me down, I don't feel I have wasted time or money. It would also not stop me from buying and trying any future MMO's to come. How else will I find what I am looking for if I just stop buying and start crying.

    "The King and the Pawn return to the same box at the end of the game"

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