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5 million registered beta users! 10 million users by end of year.
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Zenimax offered Knotwood access to an exclusive playable race for spewing nonsense ESO propaganda on gaming forums.
Knotwood said yes please ill do it for free cuz you talked to me you must love me.
I'll hold you to it!
Skyrim has a huge following, so naturally people that played that game was going to give this a try. It's been my observation that several people looking for a co-op version of Skyrim tried this out and didn't like it.
5 million subscribers? No way.
Thats not true, I am no hater!!
But I also know that ESO will not have 10 million subs at the end of year 1
Wow had 1.5 million its first year, and then after their advertising campaign grew over the next few years to 12 million. Its possible for a AAA game like ESO is going to be, to be a lot more like the WoW model then other no name games that have no development behind them.
"All accounts?" The single player PvE experience is fantastic from what I've seen. I think that usually when people talk about PvE being "weak" they are talking about there being insufficient incentive to group for PvE. In other words, weak for a MMO, not weak for a RPG.
That said, the numbers tossed about in this thread are a pipe dream. I doubt there are even 10 million customers out there, total, who are still willing to pay a subscription when there are so many quality games that can be played without a monthly fee. (And that isn't a dig at subs, it's simply an observation of what the market looks like in 2014.)
Peace is a lie, there is only passion.
Through passion, I gain strength.
Through strength, I gain power.
Through power, I gain victory.
Through victory, my chains are broken.
The Force shall free me.
LoL. I like the game and i´ll be playing on early access, but there is no way this game will have 5 mill of players at launch. That was just for the beta, i do agree that is an huge number of players, i remember swtor with over 2 mill registered beta users, but 5 mill is just huge, true. But ESO will be around the 1 or 2 mill, maybe less, we have to wait till zenimax release some real numbers. 10 mill of players in a western MMO, dont gonna happen. I know, people will say: ¨what about WoW¨?, 80% of the WOW subs are from Asia.
Here's another statistic for you, most players who try WoW don't get past level 10, about 7/10ths of them.
http://kotaku.com/5469238/most-new-world-of-warcraft-players-dont-go-past-level-10
You are ignoring the facts that relate directly to player retention...
The majority of such players, being from an instant gratification generation, will not have the patience for mmo gaming, much less a slightly above average attempt like ESO. Consider this, if there are 100million new gamers entering the market you are assuming 10% will be subbing/playing ESO on a regular basis, that's insane. The WoW peek population days are probably gone for good in mmo gaming and if not ESO will definitely not be the game to bring it back. 1.5 to 2 million subs would be a huge success for this game, I am afraid you may not understand the actual value of 10million players due largely to the freak of nature that was WoW.
Made up statistics incoming...
5 million registered accounts probably means about 800,000 people considering those who likely signed up more than once to better their odds.
I would suspect that ESO will launch and have 600k people purchase the game.
After first month there will likely be a 60% retention rate which is considerably high for a sub game...
By year end they will have 250k - 350k players dedicated and will be considered a success.
What are your other Hobbies?
Gaming is Dirt Cheap compared to this...
Which is exactly why a strong Advertisment campaign by Zenimax will propel them to 10 million. When Zenimax reaches the majority of single player gamers out there and they see though advertisement how great of an experience ESO is, then we'll see that number rise like WoW. The retention rate in WoW was that low only because they failed to update and develop their game, graphics never got updated, and many things remained old. ESO will have the advantage of having more modernized graphics and everything else people have been wanting in MMO's for years, and that's why it will do better then WoW's retention rate.
10 million is a bit optimistic I think.
5 million by years end ? That could happen, yes.
Consoles.
Agree 100%
10 million... Just No
It's nice to be enthusiastic... But this... No.
I think people laughed when 1 million gamers was mentioned 3 months ago, you'll come around once the numbers start getting released, I'm sure of it. I just wanted to be the first to say it!
I think Bender summs up my thoughts pretty well
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FopyRHHlt3M
A lot of people tend to register for free things. The beta is free.
The game itself, is not free. There will likely be considerably less people who actually shell out money.
Are you team Azeroth, team Tyria, or team Jacob?
I can see it pushing up towards 2 million sales and I think at the end of year 1 the game will sustain 400k, maybe 500k subscribers. That WILL be a huge success, no doubt.
I personally think the console thing is a bit of a red herring because (purely based on what I am reading around the net) the vast majority of that pool of Skyrim players do not actually like ESO, it is not what they actually wanted.
It seems what they actually wanted was Skyrim with Co-Op and PvP....kind of like Dark Souls....
I also think the pricing structure will be a big issue for console players.