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Alright let's do this - Sales predictions after two months

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Comments

  • bubalubabubaluba Member Posts: 434

    Something like 2.2 mil

  • minime2minime2 Member Posts: 113

    More than 9000 .

  • everlandeverland Member Posts: 71

    Why in the world would it sell more in the first month, than in preorders, when did that ever happen - first month more than preorders? Name a game and link to article about it's sales. If you predict you base it on something other than your hopes..

     

    This site is the only site this game is so hyped on. Other mmo communities aren't that exited about it, and I don't really think it will get more sales than first one did. Since people have expectations that are way to huge for the game to handle, and they claim it's gonna keep them busy for years, after playing only few days in betas. When they'll realize it is just another good game, not super dream ultimate miracle, then the hype will go away and sales will slow down.

     

    I won't buy it, didn't find nothing special in it, I still think it will do better in sales than any other latest games, but not milions of bilions of gazilions of copies, wake up... 2-3 milions

  • TwoThreeFourTwoThreeFour Member UncommonPosts: 2,155

    2.3 millions 

  • Kyuz0oKyuz0o Member Posts: 80

    I´m gonna be a smartypants here and say more than 2. Because I bought one for myself and one for my GF. So they already sold more than 2 that`s for sure.

    image

  • BeansnBreadBeansnBread Member EpicPosts: 7,254
    Originally posted by everland

    Why in the world would it sell more in the first month, than in preorders, when did that ever happen - first month more than preorders? Name a game and link to article about it's sales. If you predict you base it on something other than your hopes..

     

    This site is the only site this game is so hyped on. Other mmo communities aren't that exited about it, and I don't really think it will get more sales than first one did. Since people have expectations that are way to huge for the game to handle, and they claim it's gonna keep them busy for years, after playing only few days in betas. When they'll realize it is just another good game, not super dream ultimate miracle, then the hype will go away and sales will slow down.

     

    I won't buy it, didn't find nothing special in it, I still think it will do better in sales than any other latest games, but not milions of bilions of gazilions of copies, wake up... 2-3 milions

    Diablo 3 had over 2 million pre-orders.

    http://www.eurogamer.net/articles/2012-05-15-diablo-3-had-over-2-million-pre-orders-8000-midnight-launches

     

    Diablo 3 sells 6.7 million in the first week not including units sold through 1 year sub of World of Warcraft.

    http://www.ingame.msnbc.msn.com/technology/ingame/diablo-3-sales-set-record-despite-launch-issues-790219

  • AnthurAnthur Member UncommonPosts: 961

    Don't you get a free copy of GW2 if you do an annual GW1 subscription ? That should push Dia... hmm... GW2 sales. Too bad you can't subscribe to GW1....

    Beside that I don't see any reason why I should care as long as they sell enough boxes to keep game running and finance future expansions. Which should already be the case with existing purchases and preorders.

  • StrixMaximaStrixMaxima Member UncommonPosts: 865
    Originally posted by OldManFunk

    My prediction is GW2 will hit 3 Million in the first month and then climb to 4.5-5 Million sales by mid October (2 months).

    I'd say this is highly likely. That's my bet.

  • GraeyGraey Member UncommonPosts: 281
    Originally posted by Valua

    1-2 million, possibly after 2 months, but no more.

     

    By the end of the year it might have shipped close to 5 million copies, but I'm predicting closer to 3 million.

     

    I'd like to see it do 3-5million in 2 months, but that's completely unrealistic, and I'd like to see it reach close to 10million within a year, but my dog would sooner legally drive a car before that happens.

    I think 3million..ish will be around the 2 month mark. Also on your dog legally driving...that DMV test is tough so when he gets his license tell him to come over. I'll have my monkey butler Mr. Worthington make us some mean blue berry flapjacks image

  • stevebmbsqdstevebmbsqd Member Posts: 448
    Originally posted by colddog04
    Originally posted by everland

    Why in the world would it sell more in the first month, than in preorders, when did that ever happen - first month more than preorders? Name a game and link to article about it's sales. If you predict you base it on something other than your hopes..

     

    This site is the only site this game is so hyped on. Other mmo communities aren't that exited about it, and I don't really think it will get more sales than first one did. Since people have expectations that are way to huge for the game to handle, and they claim it's gonna keep them busy for years, after playing only few days in betas. When they'll realize it is just another good game, not super dream ultimate miracle, then the hype will go away and sales will slow down.

     

    I won't buy it, didn't find nothing special in it, I still think it will do better in sales than any other latest games, but not milions of bilions of gazilions of copies, wake up... 2-3 milions

    Diablo 3 had over 2 million pre-orders.

    http://www.eurogamer.net/articles/2012-05-15-diablo-3-had-over-2-million-pre-orders-8000-midnight-launches

     

    Diablo 3 sells 6.7 million in the first week not including units sold through 1 year sub of World of Warcraft.

    http://www.ingame.msnbc.msn.com/technology/ingame/diablo-3-sales-set-record-despite-launch-issues-790219

    Diablo was released in Asia from the start. GW2 won't. Diablo also has a much larger market and fanbase as well as advertising. I don't think they are even comparable. I would say that GW2 won't sell over 2 or 2.5 million in the first two months.  I remember a similar thread in the SWTOR forums not all that long ago with people making wild predictions.

  • Loke666Loke666 Member EpicPosts: 21,441
    Originally posted by Valua

    1-2 million, possibly after 2 months, but no more.

    By the end of the year it might have shipped close to 5 million copies, but I'm predicting closer to 3 million.

    I'd like to see it do 3-5million in 2 months, but that's completely unrealistic, and I'd like to see it reach close to 10million within a year, but my dog would sooner legally drive a car before that happens.

    Nah, they have already almost sold a million prepurchase copies so 1 million is far to pessimistic.

    I say 2,5 million copies after 2 months.

  • BeansnBreadBeansnBread Member EpicPosts: 7,254
    Originally posted by stevebmbsqd
    Originally posted by colddog04
    Originally posted by everland

    Why in the world would it sell more in the first month, than in preorders, when did that ever happen - first month more than preorders? Name a game and link to article about it's sales. If you predict you base it on something other than your hopes..

     

    This site is the only site this game is so hyped on. Other mmo communities aren't that exited about it, and I don't really think it will get more sales than first one did. Since people have expectations that are way to huge for the game to handle, and they claim it's gonna keep them busy for years, after playing only few days in betas. When they'll realize it is just another good game, not super dream ultimate miracle, then the hype will go away and sales will slow down.

     

    I won't buy it, didn't find nothing special in it, I still think it will do better in sales than any other latest games, but not milions of bilions of gazilions of copies, wake up... 2-3 milions

    Diablo 3 had over 2 million pre-orders.

    http://www.eurogamer.net/articles/2012-05-15-diablo-3-had-over-2-million-pre-orders-8000-midnight-launches

     

    Diablo 3 sells 6.7 million in the first week not including units sold through 1 year sub of World of Warcraft.

    http://www.ingame.msnbc.msn.com/technology/ingame/diablo-3-sales-set-record-despite-launch-issues-790219

    Diablo was released in Asia from the start. GW2 won't. Diablo also has a much larger market and fanbase as well as advertising. I don't think they are even comparable. I would say that GW2 won't sell over 2 or 2.5 million in the first two months.  I remember a similar thread in the SWTOR forums not all that long ago with people making wild predictions.

    He asked for a game with less pre-orders than sales and he got it.

     

    Besides that, yeah, Diablo 3 is a bit of an abberation anyway. But I could still list a bunch of games with more sales over the first month than pre-orders. It happens all the time.

     

    The fact that they've already sold 1 million + pre-purchases is pretty amazing considering some people have already predicted under 1 million in this thread. 3 million is probably reasonable for the first 2 months, but you never really know with these things. Speculators are constantly wrong and certainly forum posters like yourself and myself are often wrong.

  • MahavishnuMahavishnu Member Posts: 336

    10 million by the end of the year.

    Advertising has us chasing cars and clothes, working jobs we hate so we can buy shit we don't need.

  • BigAndShinyBigAndShiny Member Posts: 176

    2.5 million is the highest unless it really catches on in the general gaming community.

     

    SW:TOR had Star Wars, tons of hype, a HUGE advertising campaign, like a million pre-orders, the fact it was a Bioware game and sequel to 2 hugely sucessful RPGs, and *it* sold a couple million copies.  

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  • p_c_sousap_c_sousa Member Posts: 620

    after 2 months? i will say 3M, at end of year near 4M

  • firegamer31firegamer31 Member UncommonPosts: 26

    preorders figures do not matter as most just do it to get a free look into the betas. as for predictions since swtor has launched you guys have talked about gw2 being the second coming of christ and after playing beta myself its nothing different than any other mmo out. 

     

    when tsw launched it was about 1.4m and while there is more buzz around gw2 i still cant fathom this game getting above 2m at launch. i also feel though i know most cant see it cause they are giddy about a new mmo that this game will at about 1.4m subs which still isnt bad but its not gonna topple wow as some say. it will indeed find its place amongst the mmoverse but i just dont think its quite good enough to topple wow or go above 2m subs average.

     

    to bring wow numbers an mmo is going to have to in a sense reinvent the mmo world with new technologies so ground breaking that even the pope would play it:)

  • NadiaNadia Member UncommonPosts: 11,798
    Originally posted by PaRoXiTiC

    First 2 months 2 million copies

    by Christmas 5 million.

    +1

  • Lord.BachusLord.Bachus Member RarePosts: 9,686
    Originally posted by colddog04
    Originally posted by everland

    Why in the world would it sell more in the first month, than in preorders, when did that ever happen - first month more than preorders? Name a game and link to article about it's sales. If you predict you base it on something other than your hopes..

     

    This site is the only site this game is so hyped on. Other mmo communities aren't that exited about it, and I don't really think it will get more sales than first one did. Since people have expectations that are way to huge for the game to handle, and they claim it's gonna keep them busy for years, after playing only few days in betas. When they'll realize it is just another good game, not super dream ultimate miracle, then the hype will go away and sales will slow down.

     

    I won't buy it, didn't find nothing special in it, I still think it will do better in sales than any other latest games, but not milions of bilions of gazilions of copies, wake up... 2-3 milions

    Diablo 3 had over 2 million pre-orders.

    http://www.eurogamer.net/articles/2012-05-15-diablo-3-had-over-2-million-pre-orders-8000-midnight-launches

     

    Diablo 3 sells 6.7 million in the first week not including units sold through 1 year sub of World of Warcraft.

    http://www.ingame.msnbc.msn.com/technology/ingame/diablo-3-sales-set-record-despite-launch-issues-790219

    Doing my Math this would mean that GW2 with 1.4M preorder/purchases would sell 4.5M after the first week.

     

    But then the brand of Guildwars is way les known yet then any Blizzard game...

    Best MMO experiences : EQ(PvE), DAoC(PvP), WoW(total package) LOTRO (worldfeel) GW2 (Artstyle and animations and worlddesign) SWTOR (Story immersion) TSW (story) ESO (character advancement)

  • WhiteLanternWhiteLantern Member RarePosts: 3,319

    If we are doing the Price is Right version of closest-without-going-over, I choose 1.

    Too many "I love this game so it will sell a ton" stats here.

    I want a mmorpg where people have gone through misery, have gone through school stuff and actually have had sex even. -sagil

  • IstavaanIstavaan Member Posts: 1,350
    Originally posted by Grahor

    Best case scenario - a bit more than 1 million - 1.200k, may be. Worst case scenario - 700k.

    It has already sold more than that.

  • gaugemewgaugemew Member Posts: 158

    Like every other AAA title it will sell millions.  But after the first few months it will lose the vast majority because it isn't different enough.

  • IstavaanIstavaan Member Posts: 1,350
    Originally posted by Mahavishnu

    10 million by the end of the year.

    god i hope not, you'll have every douchebag playing the game then.

  • FurrballsFurrballs Member Posts: 30
    Originally posted by gestalt11

    Throw your hat in the ring and make a predication.

     

    Total box sales after two months including pre-purchases.

     

    I am gonna say 4 million.

     

     

     Yep 4 million sounds about right

     

  • firegamer31firegamer31 Member UncommonPosts: 26

    the game hasnt been released yet. preorders are not paid off most places you put 5 dollars down and reserve it also im sure 3-4m copies will be sold within weeks but when i refer to active subs....accounts im talking after the first month or so when things settle. it will retain about 1.4m actives also keep in mind that its hard to track a ftp mmo on actives as most companies consider logging in once in 6 months active.... again i know you all are hyping this up to math or shatter wow numbers but truth be told this game dosnt match up to what it would need to topple wow......and no i dont play wow nor am i a wow fanboy i play several mmos atm and gw2 will not be one of them

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