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Time For More SuperData! Overwatch and WOW Did Fine In June

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  • CnameCname Member UncommonPosts: 211
    kitarad said:
    Was wondering what Fantasy Westward Journey II was and came across this



    It's a turn based MMORPG with 250 million registered users and 500 servers ....goodness me . It says mobile though.

    The figures quoted should be for the PC MMORPG - it has existed since 2003 (player data were carried forward into current version) and has always been P2P. A mobile version was only released recently.

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  • SovrathSovrath Member LegendaryPosts: 32,998
    Avarix said:
    Avarix said:
    Avarix said:
    After a cursory Google search, the address listed for SuperData is a Wework station that is vacant and available for rent. Someone a bit better at this kind of thing needs to have a look.

    I'm not convinced this isn't a cover website run by 
    WeWork  is an office building that can be rented by the month for many different businesses.  It is a much cheaper way to rent an office in downtown NYC than many other options. There is nothing to that.  Wework is global.

    https://www.wework.com/

    https://app.vts.com/spaces/401-park-avenue-south-10th-floor
    What is your point?
    That they don't have an address and their data is locked behind a large paywall. This doesn't seem sketchy to you?
    um, actually it's not sketchy at all.

    A lot of small tech companies work at those types of places. In the case of superdata, they use a webpage for you to contact them but most likely have an address for vendors (though quite a bit is now done electronically) or even a p.o. box.

    There is a similar company down the street from me that allows small companies to be in the city but not have to deal with the overhead of renting large amounts of commercial real estate. They also don't have to employ reception people and don't need to purchase and maintain server equipment (necessarily - some setups are different).

    heck, we rent 5 cubicles to a british company because they don't want to deal with the hassle of maintaining "a space".

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  • zaberfangxzaberfangx Member UncommonPosts: 1,796
    kitarad said:
    I love this because in spite of people saying that SWTOR has done poorly the decision to hybrid P2P with F2P has clearly paid off for them. Bravo ! 
    Even how shady EA is in the pass. People in general will still throw there money at them, even if the game is bad or good.
  • cameltosiscameltosis Member LegendaryPosts: 3,851
    kitarad said:
    I love this because in spite of people saying that SWTOR has done poorly the decision to hybrid P2P with F2P has clearly paid off for them. Bravo ! 
    Well, SW:TOR was headed for failure after launch, so it was a proven bad product in terms of customer satisfaction and retention. 

    But, the switch to F2P has definitely been a financial success, so good news for Bioware and EA I guess. Still feel that, for players, the switch made things worse in terms of gameplay and quality, but I guess a bad game that is still running is better than no game at all. 



    As to the SuperData report, just the usual complaints:
    • Classifications - completely fucked. You would never buy a superdata report to read their analysis because their analysis is wrong. For example, this report tells you that F2P MMOs are extremely profitable but they've reached that conclusion by including non-MMOs. So, these graphics that we get shown are completely meaningless. 
    • Lack of data - SuperData collect as much data as possible but it is by no means complete. They have access to some information publicly (such as investors reports), some data they probably buy themselves (like retail reports from shops) and some they get direct from devs/publishers. But, they are missing an awful lot of data regarding MMOs. Given digital distribution plus ingame sales / subscriptions, most MMO data has to be voluntarily supplied by the developers / publishers. Superdata admit that not many of them do, so the list we see is not complete. 
    If I were a developer, I'd still buy the SD report in order to get the data, but (as I'm sure most companies do) I'd use the raw data provided to analyse the market for myself. I would never rely on the analysis done by SD because its very wrong. 
    Currently Playing: WAR RoR - Spitt rr80 Black Orc | Scrotling rr6X Squig Herder | Scabrous rr5X Shaman

  • LynxJSALynxJSA Member RarePosts: 3,334
    edited August 2016
    cameltosis said:   But, they are missing an awful lot of data regarding MMOs.  

    Can I ask what you are basing this on? 

    For example, of the data points I listed earlier, is there one that you feel the numbers are inaccurate in?
    -- Whammy - a 64x64 miniRPG 
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  • cameltosiscameltosis Member LegendaryPosts: 3,851
    edited August 2016
    LynxJSA said:
    cameltosis said:   But, they are missing an awful lot of data regarding MMOs.  

    Can I ask what you are basing this on? 

    For example, of the data points I listed earlier, is there one that you feel the numbers are inaccurate in?
    I'm not saying the data that they do have is inaccurate, I'm saying they don't have enough data. 

    https://www.superdataresearch.com/about/

    On their about page, they say their database covers ~48million online gamers spending habits. There are an estimated 1.2billion gamers in the world and an estimated 700million online gamers. 

    This means super data only knows the spending habits of ~7% of the online gaming population. I'm sure that data is accurate (i.e. not falsified), I'm just saying what about the other 93%? What are they doing?

    https://www.superdataresearch.com/terminology/

    This page describes some of their methodology. It clearly states that they are reliant on receiving data direct from developers and publishers and that their database covers almost 500 games. 500? Thats a drop in the ocean. If it was 500 MMOs, great, that'd be pretty much all of them, but 500 games in total, inclusive of all platforms? There are over 500 free2play games that I can get on my windows phone alone, let alone paid games, android games, iphone games etc before you even touch console and pc. Theres what, 7000+ games on steam?


    If you read further down the terminology page, you'll see their definitions are incorrect but are also inconsistent with their reports. 

    "MMO/MMOG: Massively Multiplayer Online client-based and browser-based games that can involve both persistent and/or instance-based worlds in which users can interact in real-time with one another within a simulated environment. These games often include an independent virtual economy."

    They've just described any online multiplayer game and completed ignored the "massively" qualifier. 

    "Pay-to-play (P2P)/Subscription-based MMO: Massively Multiplayer Online games that earn revenue from subscriptions, expansion packs, and microtransaction-based virtual items and services. A subscription fee or premium account status is required from all users prior to access. Includes revenue contributions from qualifying Hybrid MMOs."

    Using their own definition, SW:TOR is not a P2P MMO because you don't require a subscription or premium account to access the game. 



    So, this is why I say that the data from superdata is useful and worth the money, but any analysis done by superdata themselves is meaningless, both because their terminology / classifications are wrong and also because they don't have enough data. So, a top 5 list is pointless if you only have data on 1% of games. Imagine seeing the top 5 p2p list without WoW on it. Its only there because Blizzard provide the data. It may be that FFXIV actually earns more, but we won't ever know because SD might not have their information. 
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  • LynxJSALynxJSA Member RarePosts: 3,334
    Ok, so it's just assumptions based on their About page. Your statement made it sound like you were basing it off the actual data, and from what I've seen the actual data is accurate and sound. 
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  • KyleranKyleran Member LegendaryPosts: 44,097
    Avarix said:
    Avarix said:
    Avarix said:
    After a cursory Google search, the address listed for SuperData is a Wework station that is vacant and available for rent. Someone a bit better at this kind of thing needs to have a look.

    I'm not convinced this isn't a cover website run by @nariusseldon
    WeWork  is an office building that can be rented by the month for many different businesses.  It is a much cheaper way to rent an office in downtown NYC than many other options. There is nothing to that.  Wework is global.

    https://www.wework.com/

    https://app.vts.com/spaces/401-park-avenue-south-10th-floor
    What is your point?
    That they don't have an address and their data is locked behind a large paywall. This doesn't seem sketchy to you?

    “Reports provided by SuperData have been an invaluable source of information on global market trends and competition to our marketing team.” 

    —Lyuba Kharitonova, Senior Researcher, CCP Games

    “We’ve used SuperData to advise us on entering the online Free to Play game space. They helped us build rational business cases based on data and insights we otherwise did not have access to. Their domain knowledge and timely efforts were invaluable!” 

    —Walter Somol, VP Publishing, Harmonix Music Systems


    “I consider SuperData the high bar for today’s research companies, addressing the digital games market head on with a critical mass of telemetry and trending I trust. Joost van Dreunen and his team are the new breed of research academics who are unparalleled at analyzing both quant and qual data to help myself and the industry move away from reactive knee-jerking towards predictive decisions. SuperData has helped tremendously to shape my recent strategic choices, from portfolio planning to business model pivots to genre bending.”

    —Torrie Dorrell, Strategy & Business, GaaS & F2P, Microsoft Game Studios






    Thanks for that. I'm starting to understand why CCP has made all of those "brilliant" (not) marketing and product decisions in recent years including Dust 514, monacle-gate,WOD, and ashcanning furthur development of WIS.

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  • [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 12,262
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  • waynejr2waynejr2 Member EpicPosts: 7,771
    Avarix said:
    Avarix said:
    Avarix said:
    After a cursory Google search, the address listed for SuperData is a Wework station that is vacant and available for rent. Someone a bit better at this kind of thing needs to have a look.

    I'm not convinced this isn't a cover website run by @nariusseldon
    WeWork  is an office building that can be rented by the month for many different businesses.  It is a much cheaper way to rent an office in downtown NYC than many other options. There is nothing to that.  Wework is global.

    https://www.wework.com/

    https://app.vts.com/spaces/401-park-avenue-south-10th-floor
    What is your point?
    That they don't have an address and their data is locked behind a large paywall. This doesn't seem sketchy to you?

    NO.    Do you think the moon landings were fake? 
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  • AvarixAvarix Member RarePosts: 665
    waynejr2 said:
    Avarix said:
    Avarix said:
    Avarix said:
    After a cursory Google search, the address listed for SuperData is a Wework station that is vacant and available for rent. Someone a bit better at this kind of thing needs to have a look.

    I'm not convinced this isn't a cover website run by @nariusseldon
    WeWork  is an office building that can be rented by the month for many different businesses.  It is a much cheaper way to rent an office in downtown NYC than many other options. There is nothing to that.  Wework is global.

    https://www.wework.com/

    https://app.vts.com/spaces/401-park-avenue-south-10th-floor
    What is your point?
    That they don't have an address and their data is locked behind a large paywall. This doesn't seem sketchy to you?

    NO.    Do you think the moon landings were fake? 
    Didn't realize I was being unreasonable by looking for a stable address for their business or asking for sources on the information they're sharing. 
  • [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 12,262
    The user and all related content has been deleted.

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  • AvarixAvarix Member RarePosts: 665
    Avarix said:
    waynejr2 said:
    Avarix said:
    Avarix said:
    Avarix said:
    After a cursory Google search, the address listed for SuperData is a Wework station that is vacant and available for rent. Someone a bit better at this kind of thing needs to have a look.

    I'm not convinced this isn't a cover website run by @nariusseldon
    WeWork  is an office building that can be rented by the month for many different businesses.  It is a much cheaper way to rent an office in downtown NYC than many other options. There is nothing to that.  Wework is global.

    https://www.wework.com/

    https://app.vts.com/spaces/401-park-avenue-south-10th-floor
    What is your point?
    That they don't have an address and their data is locked behind a large paywall. This doesn't seem sketchy to you?

    NO.    Do you think the moon landings were fake? 
    Didn't realize I was being unreasonable by looking for a stable address for their business or asking for sources on the information they're sharing. 
    Not unreasonable, they just are very well known and have been for a long time now. They partner with the biggest publishers in the world. Like Microsoft, Google, Blizzard, Nintendo. They are very well known already. Just perhaps not to you.
    Well known doesn't mean they're good at what they do. Again, what are their sources? I imagine most people on this forum could make charts and graphs, just like them, by rounding up a bunch of data readily available on Google. What makes their data more accurate than random forum user 236?
  • [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 12,262
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  • [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 12,262
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  • AvarixAvarix Member RarePosts: 665
    Avarix said:
    Avarix said:
    waynejr2 said:
    Avarix said:
    Avarix said:
    Avarix said:
    After a cursory Google search, the address listed for SuperData is a Wework station that is vacant and available for rent. Someone a bit better at this kind of thing needs to have a look.

    I'm not convinced this isn't a cover website run by @nariusseldon
    WeWork  is an office building that can be rented by the month for many different businesses.  It is a much cheaper way to rent an office in downtown NYC than many other options. There is nothing to that.  Wework is global.

    https://www.wework.com/

    https://app.vts.com/spaces/401-park-avenue-south-10th-floor
    What is your point?
    That they don't have an address and their data is locked behind a large paywall. This doesn't seem sketchy to you?

    NO.    Do you think the moon landings were fake? 
    Didn't realize I was being unreasonable by looking for a stable address for their business or asking for sources on the information they're sharing. 
    Not unreasonable, they just are very well known and have been for a long time now. They partner with the biggest publishers in the world. Like Microsoft, Google, Blizzard, Nintendo. They are very well known already. Just perhaps not to you.
    Well known doesn't mean they're good at what they do. Again, what are their sources? I imagine most people on this forum could make charts and graphs, just like them, by rounding up a bunch of data readily available on Google. What makes their data more accurate than random forum user 236?
    As was already said. They work WITH publishers for their data.
    And I'm suppose to just take your, or their, word for it? Saying you work with publishers is far too vague. It could mean they sent out an e-mail asking for their invoices, one time.
  • [Deleted User][Deleted User] Posts: 12,262
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  • cameltosiscameltosis Member LegendaryPosts: 3,851
    LynxJSA said:
    Ok, so it's just assumptions based on their About page. Your statement made it sound like you were basing it off the actual data, and from what I've seen the actual data is accurate and sound. 
    I guess you can call it assumptions. 

    I mean, Superdata may actually have data on 10,000 games and are lying to us about only having data on 500 games. I suppose thats possible......


    And again, I re-iterate that I believe the data is accurate and sound. I've never claimed otherwise. I'm simply saying the data is incomplete, thus making analysis of the market as a whole inaccurate. 


    An analogy:

    Lets say Superdata collected information on what fizzy drinks people like. They collect data on the following:
    • Fanta Orange
    • Fanta Ice
    • Pepsi Max
    • Pepsi
    • Diet Pepsi
    • Lilt
    • Orange Juice
    Having collected this data, they release a report stating the top 5 consumed fizzy drinks, with Pepsi Max at the top and orange juice second. 

    Now, the data they collected is still accurate and worth buying, but their analysis is completely worthless. It is worthless firstly because they neglected to collect data on Coke, Dr Pepper, Iron Bru, Tango etc and secondly because they included a drink that wasn't fizzy. 
    Currently Playing: WAR RoR - Spitt rr80 Black Orc | Scrotling rr6X Squig Herder | Scabrous rr5X Shaman

  • LynxJSALynxJSA Member RarePosts: 3,334
    Avarix said:
    As was already said. They work WITH publishers for their data.
    And I'm suppose to just take your, or their, word for it? 
    Loving it. LOL
    -- Whammy - a 64x64 miniRPG 
    RPG Quiz - can you get all 25 right? 
    FPS Quiz - how well do you know your shooters?  
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