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http://forums.darkfallonline.com/showthread.php?t=61716
Is this delusional, wishful thinking or just extreme optimism, with expectations so unrealistically high about Darkfalls subscription numbers let alone its features, content and game play, how can the developers possibility deliver.
Only 10% of the community actually have a somewhat realistic expectation of around 50,000 for such a niche title with such limited market appeal which apparently might even only be distributed in Europe alone for launch.
I want this game to launch this year and be everything the developers have promised it will be, but even if it does and it’s a relative success, to think it would have over 150,000 subscribers let alone over 250,00 or even 750,000 is patently ridiculous for anyone with even a general knowledge of the industry.
This sort of thing really demonstrates the mentality of the average Darkfall supporter in my opinion, and probably helps to explain some of the behavior exhibited on this forum as well as many others.
Comments
i agree those numbers are a bit unrealistic, especially as the percentages reported in your subject add to 125%...
DF devs have said they plan to start with a small number of servers and grow from there, which is IMO the smart way to go. if done well, and not too hardcore, i could see DF getting 250K subscribers over a year or 2.
DF fans may be optimistic, but DF trolls are flat-out stupid.
If DF is feature complete.. and is everything they say.. I believe it will eventually max out at about 250,000. It is a niche game for sure.. but the niche is bigger than some may think
Remember Old School Ultima Online
In truth, you kinda have to LOOK to find informaitn on this game. which means that if you don't already know about it, you're gonna see it on a store shelf and lok right past it (unless the display is MASSIVE). If they're serious about launching the game around the time they've indicated, you should start fanning the flames now. But they don't seem to wanna do that....so, due to quiet marketing, maybe 125k peeps is a possibility, I doubt even 750,000 know its due to release sometime soon (soon relative to the games development cycle thus far lol).
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yea if a game like eve can get 250 subs so can Df if its releases in good shape
If it even hits 99,999, much less over 100,000, they better be throwing one hell of a party. 'Cause that's as good as it will ever get.
darkfall 1 year easy 500.000
launch usa + europe time =
1 year 750.000 easy
Ya just like Shadowbane eh?
You live in an ignorant dream world.
Darkfall (if it launches) will not have anymore than maybe 20k active subscribers then it will completely drop and die after the first year or even first 6 months. I even doubt 20,000
People underestimate what it actually takes to get people to pay to play a game in todays market.
This isnt the glory years of EQ1
Archlord had to go Free to play because no one wanted to pay to play it. Gurantee you 100% that Darkfall is no where even remotely near the quality Archlord is.
For once i agree with you, Darkfall is 100x better.
I'm sure if I was still 10 I'd be excited about DF, too.
you are the ignorant
time the time
we see in summer sales , the 2009
player wow+player aoc+player war+playaer casual+player other
easy 500.000 1 year or 750.000
Darkfall is the most anticipated game by players
60% of the official community polled think Darkfall will have over 150,000 subscribers, 40% think over 250,000 and 25% think it will be over 750,000.
If 25% think it'll be over 750k, then those 25% think it will also be over 250k, added up with those that think it will be between 250k and 750k that makes ~40% who think it will be over 250k. The one who is wrong here is you, not the OP: Think twice before you go around calling other people stupid, certainly if you have such bad math skills.
With the features defined here the game will easily acheive 150k to 250k if it releases, not unrealistic in a market where more and more people are dissapointed with what is currently on offer. And no MMOs are being released which hold peoples attention other than Wow which I hate to have to say.
The game server is designed to function as a cluster, so as a starting point Europe or USA is fine with ping rates these days not too much of a problem(FPS elements may suffer which could be a problem but I prefer to wait and see).
Wishful thinking, optimistic , unrealistic, mentality of the average supporter, but thankfully it's just your opinion not one I agree with.
Is this a troll post ? I dont understand why you can't just explain why you think the figures are inaccurate rather than just attack anyone who believes in the game.
________________________________________________________
Sorcery must persist, the future is the Citadel
Therein lyes the problem.
It WON"T have those features.
I'll tell you exactly what will happen if Darkfall launches.
It will get a decent amount of players in the first month through the initial purchases and free month.
After that it will slowly drop week by week until it ends up looking like Shadowbane.
150k subscribers are enough for LotRO to keep kicking and release free content patches pretty often, so that's about as much as Darkfall needs. 100k or 10 million subscribers doesn't make a big difference for me, i just hope there will be enough people per server.
To fight the horde, singing and crying: Valhalla, I am coming!
On we sweep with threshing oar, our only goal will be the western shore."
lawl
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To get 150,000+ subscribers you need a game that is as good as WoW or LOTRO and Darkall IS NOT... throw in the fact that it's a completely Hardcore PvP nich game that the mainstream people will run away from instantly...
No-way-in-hell
I can see the game having 10,000 subscribers and keeping them for a year.. then fading away into forgotten MMORPG land
Of course that's ONLY if they even have 80% of their touted features which IMO they will never have.
this is all speculative bullshit which is actually pretty fitting for this thing considering 90% of everything about this has to be speculated about 4 MONTHS BEFORE A LAUNCH <---- LOL
lol completly hardcore there ubs in game safe town to a point.. 4 noobs cna defeat a persont hat been playing a long time.
completly hardcore.
Its as hardcore as eve , except its will be more fair for newer players
60% of the official community polled think Darkfall will have over 150,000 subscribers, 40% think over 250,000 and 25% think it will be over 750,000.
If 25% think it'll be over 750k, then those 25% think it will also be over 250k, added up with those that think it will be between 250k and 750k that makes ~40% who think it will be over 250k. The one who is wrong here is you, not the OP: Think twice before you go around calling other people stupid, certainly if you have such bad math skills.
I was just about to post the same thing, well said.
In regards to the polled subscription numbers themselves, I agree with the sentiment here that they are extremely unrealistic. If DF manages to have close to 100,000 subs 12 months after launch it will have 'hit it out of the park' so to speak.
750,000 is rediculous tbh
4 months before a supposed European launch and they have yet to prove that a game even EXISTS and idiots are speculating about it having 250,000 players
LOL
i can see 50-250k depending
I bet someone said that about Shadowbane and Dark and Light too.
In fact I can almost gurantee they did.
It's going to be funny as hell to see all these tools who are waiting for this overhyped turd to launch get slapped in the face with reality and find out what they've been playing in their heads the last 7 years is not there
i think its delusional to think it will release this year...or possibly ever...
I think that this game will be boring!! And that no1 will play it